World Perspectives

Recent South America Analysis

Legs of War; No Cigar

Legs of War The news that Presidents Trump and Xi plus their negotiators will have extended bilateral discussions around the G20 Summit was seen as hopeful but not definitive. Both sides are dug in deep and short of one side or the other (or both). As it incurs economic calamity, this war would...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 17 June)

Update for 17 June: Prices/data updated through Friday's close.   4 May Update: Pushed a user interface change and improved app responsiveness. Data updated to reflect prices through Friday's close.  Launch Information:  WPI is proud to introduce our FOB Prices and Oce...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 17 June)

Update for 17 June 2019:  Data updated for all listed routes.     Update for 26 April 2019: Weekly data updates have been pushed, along with new routes added from the U.S. Pacific Northwest (PNW). Enjoy!  Update for 24 April 2019: Thanks for the feedback and suggestions on...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil The weather-driven rally in CBOT soybeans has left Brazilian basis steadily weaker. It dropped 10 cents/bushels last week, especially for nearby positions, on slight Chinese demand. Despite the CBOT’s rally, Dalian soymeal and soyoil futures are steady/lower, reducing crus...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat Southeast Europe and Black Sea wheat markets are mostly steady to start the week despite rising prices in France, Germany and the U.S. The Black Sea region has been under a hot/dry weather pattern that has yet to create significant concerns for the wheat crop there. Soil moistures...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

No Growth Out of Bear Market

Historically, the keys to getting out of bear commodity markets have been economic growth and production cuts in response to low prices. Rising grain and oilseed stocks from the 1997 Asian financial crisis began to subside as the recovery in world gross domestic product (GDP) growth boosted dem...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The markets were slightly firmer overnight but then caught a little fire this morning. It is starting to seem that those in the corn market are considering the possibility that the 2019 U.S. crop could fall below 13 billion bushels. There is also more concern now that not all the soybean acres...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: PNW Soybeans; Damage to U.S. Soy Industry; U.S. Soy Export Sales

High Mississippi Barge Rates Make PNW Soy Shipments a Bargain Normally, cash prices for soybeans are about $0.50/bushel ($18.40/MT) higher at export elevators in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) than at those located along the Mississippi River. However, the premium has dropped to no more than aroun...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 3-7 June 2019 Prices on the domestic market continued to either decrease moderately or remain stable in RUB expression. Export prices for 2019 wheat (12.5 percent protein content) rose slightly in their bottom segment to $196-198/MT FOB Black Sea, while that average price...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Up as Crushing Activity Increases With feed demand continuing to show solid improvement through the first full week of June, soybean crushers have steadily ramped up activity. Last week China’s estimated soymeal inventory had its largest gain this year, rising 9...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

USDA Reported: 2018/19 reduced soybean oil used for biodiesel production, and higher soybean oil ending stocks.  The 2019/20 season-average price for soybean oil price forecast is unchanged at 29.5 cents per pound. ...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

USDA Reported: 2018/19 increased soybean meal imports and exports. The 2019/20 season-average price for soybean meal prices are forecast at $295 per short ton, up 5 dollars...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA Reported:  This month’s U.S. soybean supply and use projections for 2019/20 include higher beginning and ending stocks.  Beginning stocks are raised reflecting a 75-million-bushel reduction in projected exports for 2018/19 based on lower-than-expected shipments in May and a...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA Reported:  This month’s 2019/20 U.S. corn outlook is for increased beginning stocks and imports, sharply lower production, reduced feed and residual use and exports, and smaller ending stocks.  Beginning stocks are up reflecting a 100-million-bushel decline in projected exp...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA Reported: U.S. 2019/20 wheat supplies are down with lower beginning stocks partly offset by slightly higher production.  Beginning stocks are down 25 million bushels on increased 2018/19 exports.  Winter wheat production is forecast up 6 million bushels to 1,274 million with an i...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil The market was quiet last week as the Chinese were not actively buying and instead waited for basis to fall after rising for the past several weeks. It was further slowed by the lack of selling by Brazilian farmers. Their selling interest was quelled by the real’s recent r...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was weaker last week as the hot, dry weather over parts of Russia did not scare it. Weather maps are showing ample soil and subsoil moisture accumulated during April and May in the southern region. High temperatures in June are common there, and the wheat is t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Ag futures attempted an overnight rally, but none (except for corn) were able to overcome yesterday’s highs. The inability of bulls to push the market above that point led to a weaker opening in slow trade this morning. Weather remains a focus, but with mostly improved conditions across t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

And Now We Wait

There is little doubt now that the U.S. corn crop will be just a shadow of what was expected six weeks ago. The remaining question is just how much below USDA’s May estimates of production (15 billion bushels) and ending stocks (almost 2.5 billion bushels) will the final numbers be. Obvio...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean futures were both lower overnight, while wheat futures found support after consecutive down days. The forecast remains favorable for spring crop planting and development, and USDA’s recent announcement that prevented planting acres will be ineligible for Market Facilitati...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Weather forecasts run yesterday afternoon and evening continue to show a drying trend across the Corn Belt, which led futures lower overnight. The worst of the planting-delaying weather seems to be over, and fresh forecasts are broadly encouraging. Overnight pressure also came from news that ho...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains biofuel

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Rises as Feed Prices Trend Upward Strong downstream demand for soymeal continued last week. Meanwhile, soybean crushers have gradually raised output to meet market needs. As a result, China’s nationwide soymeal inventory rose 28,100 MT (+4.6 percent) last week t...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Argentina Chinese demand has been active in the South American FOB market due to the trade war, and premiums firmed up quite a bit in the past few weeks. However, basis dropped slightly last week as China was not active in Argentina. A cargo was traded at 72N for July early in the week...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China’s Soy Imports; U.S. Soy Price Advantage; U.S. Soy Plantings

China to Continue Importing U.S. Soybeans but Unlikely to Purchase More Bloomberg reported today that sources in China indicate state-owned enterprises COFCO and Sinograin intend to continue importing the soybeans already purchased from the U.S. However, the two companies have not been told to...

Legs of War; No Cigar

Legs of War The news that Presidents Trump and Xi plus their negotiators will have extended bilateral discussions around the G20 Summit was seen as hopeful but not definitive. Both sides are dug in deep and short of one side or the other (or both). As it incurs economic calamity, this war would...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 17 June)

Update for 17 June: Prices/data updated through Friday's close.   4 May Update: Pushed a user interface change and improved app responsiveness. Data updated to reflect prices through Friday's close.  Launch Information:  WPI is proud to introduce our FOB Prices and Oce...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 17 June)

Update for 17 June 2019:  Data updated for all listed routes.     Update for 26 April 2019: Weekly data updates have been pushed, along with new routes added from the U.S. Pacific Northwest (PNW). Enjoy!  Update for 24 April 2019: Thanks for the feedback and suggestions on...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil The weather-driven rally in CBOT soybeans has left Brazilian basis steadily weaker. It dropped 10 cents/bushels last week, especially for nearby positions, on slight Chinese demand. Despite the CBOT’s rally, Dalian soymeal and soyoil futures are steady/lower, reducing crus...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat Southeast Europe and Black Sea wheat markets are mostly steady to start the week despite rising prices in France, Germany and the U.S. The Black Sea region has been under a hot/dry weather pattern that has yet to create significant concerns for the wheat crop there. Soil moistures...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

No Growth Out of Bear Market

Historically, the keys to getting out of bear commodity markets have been economic growth and production cuts in response to low prices. Rising grain and oilseed stocks from the 1997 Asian financial crisis began to subside as the recovery in world gross domestic product (GDP) growth boosted dem...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The markets were slightly firmer overnight but then caught a little fire this morning. It is starting to seem that those in the corn market are considering the possibility that the 2019 U.S. crop could fall below 13 billion bushels. There is also more concern now that not all the soybean acres...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: PNW Soybeans; Damage to U.S. Soy Industry; U.S. Soy Export Sales

High Mississippi Barge Rates Make PNW Soy Shipments a Bargain Normally, cash prices for soybeans are about $0.50/bushel ($18.40/MT) higher at export elevators in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) than at those located along the Mississippi River. However, the premium has dropped to no more than aroun...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 3-7 June 2019 Prices on the domestic market continued to either decrease moderately or remain stable in RUB expression. Export prices for 2019 wheat (12.5 percent protein content) rose slightly in their bottom segment to $196-198/MT FOB Black Sea, while that average price...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Up as Crushing Activity Increases With feed demand continuing to show solid improvement through the first full week of June, soybean crushers have steadily ramped up activity. Last week China’s estimated soymeal inventory had its largest gain this year, rising 9...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

USDA Reported: 2018/19 reduced soybean oil used for biodiesel production, and higher soybean oil ending stocks.  The 2019/20 season-average price for soybean oil price forecast is unchanged at 29.5 cents per pound. ...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

USDA Reported: 2018/19 increased soybean meal imports and exports. The 2019/20 season-average price for soybean meal prices are forecast at $295 per short ton, up 5 dollars...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA Reported:  This month’s U.S. soybean supply and use projections for 2019/20 include higher beginning and ending stocks.  Beginning stocks are raised reflecting a 75-million-bushel reduction in projected exports for 2018/19 based on lower-than-expected shipments in May and a...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA Reported:  This month’s 2019/20 U.S. corn outlook is for increased beginning stocks and imports, sharply lower production, reduced feed and residual use and exports, and smaller ending stocks.  Beginning stocks are up reflecting a 100-million-bushel decline in projected exp...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA Reported: U.S. 2019/20 wheat supplies are down with lower beginning stocks partly offset by slightly higher production.  Beginning stocks are down 25 million bushels on increased 2018/19 exports.  Winter wheat production is forecast up 6 million bushels to 1,274 million with an i...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil The market was quiet last week as the Chinese were not actively buying and instead waited for basis to fall after rising for the past several weeks. It was further slowed by the lack of selling by Brazilian farmers. Their selling interest was quelled by the real’s recent r...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was weaker last week as the hot, dry weather over parts of Russia did not scare it. Weather maps are showing ample soil and subsoil moisture accumulated during April and May in the southern region. High temperatures in June are common there, and the wheat is t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Ag futures attempted an overnight rally, but none (except for corn) were able to overcome yesterday’s highs. The inability of bulls to push the market above that point led to a weaker opening in slow trade this morning. Weather remains a focus, but with mostly improved conditions across t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

And Now We Wait

There is little doubt now that the U.S. corn crop will be just a shadow of what was expected six weeks ago. The remaining question is just how much below USDA’s May estimates of production (15 billion bushels) and ending stocks (almost 2.5 billion bushels) will the final numbers be. Obvio...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean futures were both lower overnight, while wheat futures found support after consecutive down days. The forecast remains favorable for spring crop planting and development, and USDA’s recent announcement that prevented planting acres will be ineligible for Market Facilitati...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Weather forecasts run yesterday afternoon and evening continue to show a drying trend across the Corn Belt, which led futures lower overnight. The worst of the planting-delaying weather seems to be over, and fresh forecasts are broadly encouraging. Overnight pressure also came from news that ho...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains biofuel

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Rises as Feed Prices Trend Upward Strong downstream demand for soymeal continued last week. Meanwhile, soybean crushers have gradually raised output to meet market needs. As a result, China’s nationwide soymeal inventory rose 28,100 MT (+4.6 percent) last week t...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Argentina Chinese demand has been active in the South American FOB market due to the trade war, and premiums firmed up quite a bit in the past few weeks. However, basis dropped slightly last week as China was not active in Argentina. A cargo was traded at 72N for July early in the week...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China’s Soy Imports; U.S. Soy Price Advantage; U.S. Soy Plantings

China to Continue Importing U.S. Soybeans but Unlikely to Purchase More Bloomberg reported today that sources in China indicate state-owned enterprises COFCO and Sinograin intend to continue importing the soybeans already purchased from the U.S. However, the two companies have not been told to...

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