World Perspectives

Recent South America Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 18 September)

Ocean Freight Comments for 17 September 2020: By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting It was another one of those weeks where Dry-Bulk freight tried to rally early but was forced to retreat at the week’s end. The paper trade is better supported than the physical market and it will be interes...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 18 September)

Ocean Freight Comments - 17 September 2020 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting It was another one of those weeks where Dry-Bulk freight tried to rally early but was forced to retreat at the week’s end. The paper trade is better supported than the physical market and it will be int...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Gambling on China

The market has been on a tear and it is all based on current demand from China and speculation that it will continue. Current demand prompts news articles about U.S. infrastructure capacity to service it, prospective future demand has funds lined up to go longer. The fundamentals leave us quest...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Changing China’s Planting Priorities; August Soy Crush Report; U.S. Soy Sales

China Urged to Prioritize Corn, Wheat and Rice Production Over Soybean Production Speakers at this year’s China Soybean Industry International Summit Forum urged the government of China to stop prioritizing the plantings of soybeans to supply the animal food market and instead allow more...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

More Questions for Grain Markets

Grain and soy futures markets often pose more questions than answers. In terms of trade volume and volatility that is a good thing since it is questions not answers that fuel markets. In that sense last week’s WASDE answered a few questions at least temporarily but raised many more. USDA&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies on Chinese Buying (again); Historic Soybean Spreads

The CBOT drifted lower overnight with corn and soybeans testing technical support. That weakness was short-lived in soybeans, however, as rumors of Chinese purchases helped the market firm heading into the morning’s opening bell. The day session corn, soybeans and wheat jump higher at the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Turns Lower with Harvest Looming

Now halfway through the month of September, the CBOT is looking like the rally is ending, or at least on pause for a while. Row crops and wheat were lower as the focus turns to the large U.S. harvest and overbought technical conditions. The U.S. corn harvest is starting and early yield results...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies Again; WPI 2020 S&D; Beef Turning Bullish

The CBOT was mostly higher to start the week with soybeans and soyoil extending their rallies. Corn and wheat were firmer but posted a relatively lackluster day of trading. Soyoil reversed course and fell lower under pressure from long profit taking and bull soyoil/soymeal spreads. Cattle futur...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat The wheat market has become interesting over the past few weeks. At the beginning of September, the core agricultural area received an average of 25 mm of rain with three consecutive days of precipitation that allowed good penetration into the soil profile. Although the rains were less th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: WASDE Neutral, Soybeans Rally Anyway; Hogs Explode Higher

The September WASDE failed to offer truly bullish surprises, but you wouldn’t know that from the CBOT’s reaction. The soy complex ended sharply higher for the day and November soybeans briefly challenged the $10.00 mark. Corn finished the day basically steady as pre-report gains wer...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price forecast is 32.0 cents per pound, up 2 cents...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

The soybean meal price is projected at $315 per short ton, up 25 dollars. ...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans – USDA reduced the estimated yield from 53.3 to 51.9 bushels per acre.  Beginning stocks for the 2020/21 season were also reduced.  Ending stocks are projected at 460 million bushels, down 150 million from last month.  Lower U.S. stocks are partly offset by higher...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn – USDA reduced U.S. corn ending stocks for 2020/21.  The average U.S. yield was reduced from 181.8 to 178.5 bushels per acre.  U.S.corn production is forecast at 14.9 billion bushels, down 378 million from last month on a lower yield forecast and reduction in harvested area...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat – USDA left U.S. wheat supply and demand outlook unchanged.   The 2020/21 global wheat outlook is for higher stocks - supplies were raised 3.3 million tons as higher production in Australia and Canada more than offset a smaller crop in Argentina. On net, global 2020/21 pro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

USDA Adjusts Stocks

Today’s September WASDE report reflects important adjustments in the projected ending stocks for corn, soybeans, and wheat. Overall, global stocks of soybeans and wheat were increased while that of corn fell. But the larger changes can be attributed to just a handful of countries. Though...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Big Bets on Tomorrow

The market is frothy. Tomorrow’s USDA WASDE report could affirm today’s relatively bullish sentiment, or it could break it on fundamentals. The question is whether USDA’s corrections in yield, production and stocks go as far as current guesses. In all likelihood, there will be...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Record 2020/21 Soybean Export Sales; China Flooding; Brazil Soybeans

U.S. New Crop Soybean Export Sales Above Pace of 2016/17 As of today, U.S. exporters have reported to USDA the sale of 25.997 MMT of soybeans for export in MY 2020/21, including 15.073 MMT reportedly sold to China. A year ago, sales totaled only 6.403 MMT with only 0.260 MMT sold to China.&nbsp...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Export Sales; U.S. Soy Export Capacity; Brazil Tariff Backtrack

Soy Export Sales Highlights Last week was a good one for exporters of U.S. soybeans and a fairly good one for soymeal exporters, according to today’s USDA export sales report. Net sales of soybeans in the week ending 27 August  totaled 88,100 MT for 2019/20 and 1,762,800 MT for shipm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soy Complex Rallies While Wheat Takes a Break; Feeder Cattle are Overpriced

Yesterday’s CBOT trends were reversed with the soy complex moving higher while wheat traded a steady, lackluster day. Corn and soybeans started the day weaker, but afternoon rumors of export business pushed the soy market higher. Funds are thought to have purchased some 7,500 contracts of...

Notable Changes in U.S. Agricultural Trade

In the year of COVID, it is difficult to assign precise reasons for changes in trade flows but following are some observations about U.S. agricultural trade in the year to date:  U.S. exports to India have taken the largest fall, but Bangladesh next door has seen the largest increase.&nb...

biofuel energy

Brazil Punts on Ethanol TRQ

Reports from Brazil indicate that the government is leaning toward extending the TRQ for U.S. ethanol imports for 90 days (the TRQ expired yesterday). There has been no official action yet.   The expected extension is considered a compromise solution from President Bolsonaro. It would...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soyoil Post Reversals; Wheat Remains Strong

The CBOT once again opened higher with expectations for further reductions in crop condition ratings fueling buying activity. Deliveries against September CBOT futures were surprisingly light, which also added to the higher mentality. As the day wore on, however, profit taking developed as trad...

Aid and Trade in the COVID Election Season

Initial unemployment claims topped 1 million for the second week in a row after previously declining below that psychological line. Total initial claims were 1,006,000, which was still almost 9 percent lower than the week before but not as good as had been hoped for a couple of weeks ago. This...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 18 September)

Ocean Freight Comments for 17 September 2020: By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting It was another one of those weeks where Dry-Bulk freight tried to rally early but was forced to retreat at the week’s end. The paper trade is better supported than the physical market and it will be interes...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 18 September)

Ocean Freight Comments - 17 September 2020 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting It was another one of those weeks where Dry-Bulk freight tried to rally early but was forced to retreat at the week’s end. The paper trade is better supported than the physical market and it will be int...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Gambling on China

The market has been on a tear and it is all based on current demand from China and speculation that it will continue. Current demand prompts news articles about U.S. infrastructure capacity to service it, prospective future demand has funds lined up to go longer. The fundamentals leave us quest...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Changing China’s Planting Priorities; August Soy Crush Report; U.S. Soy Sales

China Urged to Prioritize Corn, Wheat and Rice Production Over Soybean Production Speakers at this year’s China Soybean Industry International Summit Forum urged the government of China to stop prioritizing the plantings of soybeans to supply the animal food market and instead allow more...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

More Questions for Grain Markets

Grain and soy futures markets often pose more questions than answers. In terms of trade volume and volatility that is a good thing since it is questions not answers that fuel markets. In that sense last week’s WASDE answered a few questions at least temporarily but raised many more. USDA&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies on Chinese Buying (again); Historic Soybean Spreads

The CBOT drifted lower overnight with corn and soybeans testing technical support. That weakness was short-lived in soybeans, however, as rumors of Chinese purchases helped the market firm heading into the morning’s opening bell. The day session corn, soybeans and wheat jump higher at the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Turns Lower with Harvest Looming

Now halfway through the month of September, the CBOT is looking like the rally is ending, or at least on pause for a while. Row crops and wheat were lower as the focus turns to the large U.S. harvest and overbought technical conditions. The U.S. corn harvest is starting and early yield results...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies Again; WPI 2020 S&D; Beef Turning Bullish

The CBOT was mostly higher to start the week with soybeans and soyoil extending their rallies. Corn and wheat were firmer but posted a relatively lackluster day of trading. Soyoil reversed course and fell lower under pressure from long profit taking and bull soyoil/soymeal spreads. Cattle futur...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat The wheat market has become interesting over the past few weeks. At the beginning of September, the core agricultural area received an average of 25 mm of rain with three consecutive days of precipitation that allowed good penetration into the soil profile. Although the rains were less th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: WASDE Neutral, Soybeans Rally Anyway; Hogs Explode Higher

The September WASDE failed to offer truly bullish surprises, but you wouldn’t know that from the CBOT’s reaction. The soy complex ended sharply higher for the day and November soybeans briefly challenged the $10.00 mark. Corn finished the day basically steady as pre-report gains wer...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price forecast is 32.0 cents per pound, up 2 cents...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

The soybean meal price is projected at $315 per short ton, up 25 dollars. ...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans – USDA reduced the estimated yield from 53.3 to 51.9 bushels per acre.  Beginning stocks for the 2020/21 season were also reduced.  Ending stocks are projected at 460 million bushels, down 150 million from last month.  Lower U.S. stocks are partly offset by higher...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn – USDA reduced U.S. corn ending stocks for 2020/21.  The average U.S. yield was reduced from 181.8 to 178.5 bushels per acre.  U.S.corn production is forecast at 14.9 billion bushels, down 378 million from last month on a lower yield forecast and reduction in harvested area...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat – USDA left U.S. wheat supply and demand outlook unchanged.   The 2020/21 global wheat outlook is for higher stocks - supplies were raised 3.3 million tons as higher production in Australia and Canada more than offset a smaller crop in Argentina. On net, global 2020/21 pro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

USDA Adjusts Stocks

Today’s September WASDE report reflects important adjustments in the projected ending stocks for corn, soybeans, and wheat. Overall, global stocks of soybeans and wheat were increased while that of corn fell. But the larger changes can be attributed to just a handful of countries. Though...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Big Bets on Tomorrow

The market is frothy. Tomorrow’s USDA WASDE report could affirm today’s relatively bullish sentiment, or it could break it on fundamentals. The question is whether USDA’s corrections in yield, production and stocks go as far as current guesses. In all likelihood, there will be...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Record 2020/21 Soybean Export Sales; China Flooding; Brazil Soybeans

U.S. New Crop Soybean Export Sales Above Pace of 2016/17 As of today, U.S. exporters have reported to USDA the sale of 25.997 MMT of soybeans for export in MY 2020/21, including 15.073 MMT reportedly sold to China. A year ago, sales totaled only 6.403 MMT with only 0.260 MMT sold to China.&nbsp...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Export Sales; U.S. Soy Export Capacity; Brazil Tariff Backtrack

Soy Export Sales Highlights Last week was a good one for exporters of U.S. soybeans and a fairly good one for soymeal exporters, according to today’s USDA export sales report. Net sales of soybeans in the week ending 27 August  totaled 88,100 MT for 2019/20 and 1,762,800 MT for shipm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soy Complex Rallies While Wheat Takes a Break; Feeder Cattle are Overpriced

Yesterday’s CBOT trends were reversed with the soy complex moving higher while wheat traded a steady, lackluster day. Corn and soybeans started the day weaker, but afternoon rumors of export business pushed the soy market higher. Funds are thought to have purchased some 7,500 contracts of...

Notable Changes in U.S. Agricultural Trade

In the year of COVID, it is difficult to assign precise reasons for changes in trade flows but following are some observations about U.S. agricultural trade in the year to date:  U.S. exports to India have taken the largest fall, but Bangladesh next door has seen the largest increase.&nb...

biofuel energy

Brazil Punts on Ethanol TRQ

Reports from Brazil indicate that the government is leaning toward extending the TRQ for U.S. ethanol imports for 90 days (the TRQ expired yesterday). There has been no official action yet.   The expected extension is considered a compromise solution from President Bolsonaro. It would...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soyoil Post Reversals; Wheat Remains Strong

The CBOT once again opened higher with expectations for further reductions in crop condition ratings fueling buying activity. Deliveries against September CBOT futures were surprisingly light, which also added to the higher mentality. As the day wore on, however, profit taking developed as trad...

Aid and Trade in the COVID Election Season

Initial unemployment claims topped 1 million for the second week in a row after previously declining below that psychological line. Total initial claims were 1,006,000, which was still almost 9 percent lower than the week before but not as good as had been hoped for a couple of weeks ago. This...

Select Filters to Apply

  • Markets
  • Publications

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up