World Perspectives

Recent India Analysis

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Rabi Sowing Down As of 18 January 2019, the total rabi planted area was down 4.8 percent versus 2017/18. While wheat is among the crops affected, pulses and coarse cereals, most especially pearl millet, are down significantly (see table below). The overal oilseed area has been good, however, as...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Pest-Damaged Crop and No Imports Driving Corn Prices After the spot market price of corn in India touched $255/MT in early December 2018, the end user industry (starch and poultry) asked the government of India (GOI) to allow imports. Prices continued to rise at that time, reaching $266/MT at o...

softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Pulse Prices Continue to Rise; GOI Restricts Imports   India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the yellow pea import restriction through 31 March 2019. The import restrictions’ goal is to curb cheaper imports and help boost domestic pulse prices. The Government of India...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Rapeseed-Mustard Prices Crash as Hopes of Exporting to China Vanish As relations between the U.S. and China thawed and a 90-day truce was called, all hopes of India exporting rapeseed-mustard meal and soymeal to the latter vanished. China was back in the market for U.S. soybeans. It did make st...

The Disruption Game

Trump administration officials meet with their Chinese counterparts the week of 7 January to begin trade negotiations. No one should expect a quick or easy agreement. As should now be transparent to all, Mr. Trump prefers total disruption as a negotiating style. In its ongoing effort to present...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was firmer last week. Russia’s domestic prices were $2-6/MT higher in different regions. Meanwhile, it has exported approximately 23 MMT from the start of the campaign, and the range of estimates for the final total is 32-36.5 MMT. The export surplus rem...

feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

India’s Corn Prices Too High; End Users Want Imports The Indian poultry, dairy, feed and starch sectors’s corn consumption has grown 1.1 MMT since 2014/15 to reach 19.63 MMT in 2017/18. The marketable surplus peaked in 2016/17 at 19.10 MMT, per the industry estimate. Erratic supplie...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Exports; Growth in Soymeal Demand

Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA weekly export sales report indicated a total 1,561,000 MT of soybeans were sold to China last week. USDA also reported additional sales yesterday and today of 1,403,000 MT to that country, bringing the two-week total to 2.964 MMT. Trade sources sug...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - December 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, the U.S. soybean sector, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...

soy-oilseeds softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Vegetable Oil Imports Decline India’s vegetable oil imports totaled 1.073 MMT last month, a drop of 10.1 percent from 1.174 MMT in October and down 15.2 percent versus November 2017. In June 2018, the government of India (GOI) raised the duty on vegetable oils. The rates on crude palm oi...

Tale of the Tail; USMCA Strategy; Up in Smoke; Delhi Dirt

Tale of Trade Restrictions’ Tail China came into the U.S. market today for soybeans, but American farmers now realize they need to diversify their markets. Perhaps they’ve learned something from past trade wars. Consider the following: Soviet Grain Embargo 1) Before the Soviet Union...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA notes the following about soybeans: Soybean supply and use projections for 2018/19 are unchanged from last month. With soybean exports and crush unchanged, soybean ending stocks are projected at a record 955 million bushels. The U.S. season- average soybean price for 2018/19 is forecast at...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China and U.S. Soybean Imports; WASDE and the Soy Sector

China Apparently Deciding How Many U.S. Soybean to Import At their meeting in Buenos Aires, President Trump was able to get a commitment from President Xi to import a substantial volume of U.S. soybeans and other commodities during the 90-day truce in the trade war. Hong Kong’s South Chin...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA notes the following about wheat: The outlook for 2018/19 U.S. wheat this month is for unchanged supplies, lower exports, and higher ending stocks. Wheat exports are lowered 25 million bushels to 1.0 billion with all the reduction in Hard Red Winter (HRW) on historically low exports for thi...

Immoderate Nutrition; Global Integration; Climate Recalculation

Immoderate Nutrition In 2010 the Obama administration sought to make the school lunch program comport with the government’s own nutrition guidelines – less fat, sugar and salt but more fresh fruits, vegetables and whole grains. School systems reacted by complaining the rules were in...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

India Oil Meal Exports Up  Oil meal exports of 2.043 MMT for April-November were almost 10 percent higher versus 1.855 MMT for the same period last year. October 2018 was the start of the soymeal season, and nearly 0.367 MMT were exported in the two-month period since then, up 32.73 percen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Prices Continue to Rise; Imports Required In the past 15 days, prices in the key corn production/consumption hubs have risen 6.7-9.6 percent and are 29 percent higher than last year. Two possible reasons for this are the higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP) announced by the government of In...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Cash-Settled Wheat Futures

As trading of agricultural crop futures contracts evolved in the 19th century at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), there were futures markets for wheat, corn, oats, rye and hay. In the 20th century, trading in the hay and rye markets diminished so much that the CBOT eventually dropped them. Ho...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - November 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, the U.S. soybean crushing complex, the U.S. meat and livestock industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...

softs feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sensitive Sugar Situation in India India has so far contracted to export approximately 1 MMT of sugar against the government’s fixed target of 5 MMT. Despite dropping 3.49 percent in the past month, however, the Indian sugar price is still 21.06 percent higher than the world price, which...

feed-grains livestock wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Prices Remain Higher, Curbing Export Potential The government of India (GOI) estimated the khariff (October harvest) corn production at 21.47 MMT on 26 September 2018, 1.23 MMT more than the final estimate for that season’s crop last year. The increase is despite the uneven distribut...

New Trade War Weapon

Only twice has a country filed a challenge in the WTO against another’s required notification of its domestic ag subsidies. The first was in May when the U.S. did so against India’s report on market support for wheat and rice during MY 2010/11-2013/14. The second time was yesterday...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Pulses Demand, Supply and Prices India has been importing large quantities of pulses/lentils over the years. That slowed in the last year, however, as domestic production has increased because of higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP). Khariff pulses production is expected to rise from 6 MMT in 20...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

USDA’s November estimate for 2018/19 is for South America to capture more of China’s soybean market while the United States is likely to capture more market share in the rest of the world, particularly in the second half of the marketing year when those imports typically trend highe...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Rabi Sowing Down As of 18 January 2019, the total rabi planted area was down 4.8 percent versus 2017/18. While wheat is among the crops affected, pulses and coarse cereals, most especially pearl millet, are down significantly (see table below). The overal oilseed area has been good, however, as...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Pest-Damaged Crop and No Imports Driving Corn Prices After the spot market price of corn in India touched $255/MT in early December 2018, the end user industry (starch and poultry) asked the government of India (GOI) to allow imports. Prices continued to rise at that time, reaching $266/MT at o...

softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Pulse Prices Continue to Rise; GOI Restricts Imports   India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the yellow pea import restriction through 31 March 2019. The import restrictions’ goal is to curb cheaper imports and help boost domestic pulse prices. The Government of India...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Rapeseed-Mustard Prices Crash as Hopes of Exporting to China Vanish As relations between the U.S. and China thawed and a 90-day truce was called, all hopes of India exporting rapeseed-mustard meal and soymeal to the latter vanished. China was back in the market for U.S. soybeans. It did make st...

The Disruption Game

Trump administration officials meet with their Chinese counterparts the week of 7 January to begin trade negotiations. No one should expect a quick or easy agreement. As should now be transparent to all, Mr. Trump prefers total disruption as a negotiating style. In its ongoing effort to present...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was firmer last week. Russia’s domestic prices were $2-6/MT higher in different regions. Meanwhile, it has exported approximately 23 MMT from the start of the campaign, and the range of estimates for the final total is 32-36.5 MMT. The export surplus rem...

feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

India’s Corn Prices Too High; End Users Want Imports The Indian poultry, dairy, feed and starch sectors’s corn consumption has grown 1.1 MMT since 2014/15 to reach 19.63 MMT in 2017/18. The marketable surplus peaked in 2016/17 at 19.10 MMT, per the industry estimate. Erratic supplie...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Exports; Growth in Soymeal Demand

Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA weekly export sales report indicated a total 1,561,000 MT of soybeans were sold to China last week. USDA also reported additional sales yesterday and today of 1,403,000 MT to that country, bringing the two-week total to 2.964 MMT. Trade sources sug...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - December 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, the U.S. soybean sector, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...

soy-oilseeds softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Vegetable Oil Imports Decline India’s vegetable oil imports totaled 1.073 MMT last month, a drop of 10.1 percent from 1.174 MMT in October and down 15.2 percent versus November 2017. In June 2018, the government of India (GOI) raised the duty on vegetable oils. The rates on crude palm oi...

Tale of the Tail; USMCA Strategy; Up in Smoke; Delhi Dirt

Tale of Trade Restrictions’ Tail China came into the U.S. market today for soybeans, but American farmers now realize they need to diversify their markets. Perhaps they’ve learned something from past trade wars. Consider the following: Soviet Grain Embargo 1) Before the Soviet Union...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA notes the following about soybeans: Soybean supply and use projections for 2018/19 are unchanged from last month. With soybean exports and crush unchanged, soybean ending stocks are projected at a record 955 million bushels. The U.S. season- average soybean price for 2018/19 is forecast at...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China and U.S. Soybean Imports; WASDE and the Soy Sector

China Apparently Deciding How Many U.S. Soybean to Import At their meeting in Buenos Aires, President Trump was able to get a commitment from President Xi to import a substantial volume of U.S. soybeans and other commodities during the 90-day truce in the trade war. Hong Kong’s South Chin...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA notes the following about wheat: The outlook for 2018/19 U.S. wheat this month is for unchanged supplies, lower exports, and higher ending stocks. Wheat exports are lowered 25 million bushels to 1.0 billion with all the reduction in Hard Red Winter (HRW) on historically low exports for thi...

Immoderate Nutrition; Global Integration; Climate Recalculation

Immoderate Nutrition In 2010 the Obama administration sought to make the school lunch program comport with the government’s own nutrition guidelines – less fat, sugar and salt but more fresh fruits, vegetables and whole grains. School systems reacted by complaining the rules were in...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

India Oil Meal Exports Up  Oil meal exports of 2.043 MMT for April-November were almost 10 percent higher versus 1.855 MMT for the same period last year. October 2018 was the start of the soymeal season, and nearly 0.367 MMT were exported in the two-month period since then, up 32.73 percen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Prices Continue to Rise; Imports Required In the past 15 days, prices in the key corn production/consumption hubs have risen 6.7-9.6 percent and are 29 percent higher than last year. Two possible reasons for this are the higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP) announced by the government of In...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Cash-Settled Wheat Futures

As trading of agricultural crop futures contracts evolved in the 19th century at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), there were futures markets for wheat, corn, oats, rye and hay. In the 20th century, trading in the hay and rye markets diminished so much that the CBOT eventually dropped them. Ho...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - November 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, the U.S. soybean crushing complex, the U.S. meat and livestock industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...

softs feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sensitive Sugar Situation in India India has so far contracted to export approximately 1 MMT of sugar against the government’s fixed target of 5 MMT. Despite dropping 3.49 percent in the past month, however, the Indian sugar price is still 21.06 percent higher than the world price, which...

feed-grains livestock wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Prices Remain Higher, Curbing Export Potential The government of India (GOI) estimated the khariff (October harvest) corn production at 21.47 MMT on 26 September 2018, 1.23 MMT more than the final estimate for that season’s crop last year. The increase is despite the uneven distribut...

New Trade War Weapon

Only twice has a country filed a challenge in the WTO against another’s required notification of its domestic ag subsidies. The first was in May when the U.S. did so against India’s report on market support for wheat and rice during MY 2010/11-2013/14. The second time was yesterday...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Pulses Demand, Supply and Prices India has been importing large quantities of pulses/lentils over the years. That slowed in the last year, however, as domestic production has increased because of higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP). Khariff pulses production is expected to rise from 6 MMT in 20...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

USDA’s November estimate for 2018/19 is for South America to capture more of China’s soybean market while the United States is likely to capture more market share in the rest of the world, particularly in the second half of the marketing year when those imports typically trend highe...

Select Filters to Apply

  • Markets
  • Publications

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up