World Perspectives

Recent India Analysis

Codifying Gains; Saving Forests; From Importer to Exporter; Arctic Fruit

Codifying Gains  American farmers are said to be politically conservative. After all, they tend to vote for Republicans in large numbers. But even Republicans are not the budget hawks they once were. Instead, politics has solely become who gets the largess, not whether it builds more debt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Even Bears are Bulls

If a wolf can be in sheep’s clothing, could a bear be in a bull’s hide? Or a bull in a bear’s coat? Whether a bull or a bear, it is about profit-taking, which means sometimes the bull makes a nod to the bear and the bear to the bull. Today was another day won by the bull but n...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Exports; Argentina Dryness; Indian Soymeal

A Good Week for U.S. Soy Exporters Today’s USDA/FAS export sales report indicated exporters of U.S. soybeans, soymeal, and soyoil had great success in the week ending 7 January. Sales of soybeans were high for this point in the marketing year and export sales of soymeal were a marketing y...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price is forecast at 38.5 cents per pound, up 2.5 cents...

Spud Consumption

Although Walmart sells more groceries, Kroger is the largest grocery chain in the U.S. and some things on its list of documented food trends in 2020 will concern health specialists. The effort to avoid contracting COVID by staying home included increased consumption of flavored potato chips. Al...

Biden Trade Policy; Slippery Slope; Selective Attention; Selective Interpretation

Biden Trade Policy Washington’s chattering class continue to speculate and opine on what President-Elect Joe Biden’s administration should do with trade policy. Some say to cut tariffs, others recommend ending bilateralism, there is even the hope that he will decide to rejoin the TP...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Plenty of Global Stocks

The markets are bullish and global food prices are rising but stocks of wheat, corn, and soybeans are ample. Over the past 40 years, the world’s population has increased by 70 percent. Over that same period, global ending stocks of corn are up 127 percent, surplus wheat is up 181 percent...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

soybean ending stocks for 2020/21 are projected at 175 million bushels.  If realized, ending stocks would be the lowest since 2013/14. Soybean and soybean product prices are forecast higher this month.  The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2020/21 is projected at $10.55 per bushe...

Thoughtless Londoners; Weird Biden Buckets; Money Against Roundup; SPS Abuse

Thoughtless Londoners First Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau came out in support of India’s protesting farmers and now thousands protest in London against India's farming reforms. London has a lot of residents with Indian heritage, but Prime Minister Narendra Modi is trying to get h...

Water Investment

The extremely dry conditions in Argentina illustrate the low level of irrigation in many countries around the world. In terms of number of irrigated hectares, China is number one, followed by India and then the U.S. However, on a percent share of total agricultural land, Japan is by far number...

soy-oilseeds

India’s Vegoil Gap

India’s production of major oilseeds increased by around 6 percent over the past decade at the same time its population advanced by 9 percent. Although New Delhi restricts vegetable oil imports, particularly soyoil, to protect its domestic crushing industry, imports are significant and ha...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

The soybean oil price is forecast at 34.5 cents per pound, up 2.0 cents from last month.  ...

India’s Gain is Competitors’ Losses

India’s monsoon season has been abundant and has boosted hopes for bumper crops that will boost incomes and exports. This contrasts with urban areas that have been hit hard by COVID. There is also hope in New Delhi that the Biden Administration will be more generous than President Trump,...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; India Buys U.S. Soyoil; Shortage of Containers

U.S. Soy Export Sales Highlights Last week was another good one for exporters of U.S. soybeans and soybean products. If the pace of sales and exports continue it could be a record export year for the U.S. soybean sector. Net export sales of soybeans in the week ending 29 October totaled 1,530,5...

WTO Bad/Good/Indifferent; EU Food Fun

WTO Bad/Good/Indifferent Bad: The U.S. Congressional Research Service has concluded that trade war payments and COVID relief payments to farmers have likely exceeded WTO limits on such cash transfers. U.S. officials retort that that they are legal. However, the real problem is that the U.S. has...

wheat

Pasta versus Bread

Wheat is the largest and possibly oldest consumed food grain in the world, but its future is slowing down. Known as the staff of life, about 50 percent more wheat is consumed than rice, though about 18 percent of wheat destruction is from feed use. Bread is a predominant use of wheat, though pa...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China Soybean Purchases; Renewable Diesel; NOPA Crush; India Soy

China Continues to Buy U.S. Soybeans Because of the Columbus Day holiday on Monday USDA will not issue its weekly export sales report until tomorrow. However, it is clear Chinese importers have continued to purchase and import U.S. soybeans. Yesterday and today USDA indicated exporters had repo...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price forecast is raised 0.5 cents to 32.5 cents per pound...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA reduced ending stocks of U.S. soybeans for the 2020/21 season and decreased global ending stocks:  U.S. soybean supplies for 2020/21 are forecast at 4.8 billion bushels, down 96 million on lower production and beginning stocks.  Despite reduced supplies, soybean exports are raise...

Markets are Scary

The government of Narendra Modi is pushing through reforms to make Indian agriculture more market-oriented, but it has become a huge political fight within the country. Since independence, agriculture in India has been largely about government control of supply and thus the price received by hu...

The Daily Onion

Starches and protein are the largest caloric components of the western diet and WPI analyzes them all day long. Notably, the onion is one of the most important components in the Indian diet. Periodically, there is the risk of civil unrest due to production shortfalls of the vegetable. Consequen...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price forecast is 32.0 cents per pound, up 2 cents...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans – USDA reduced the estimated yield from 53.3 to 51.9 bushels per acre.  Beginning stocks for the 2020/21 season were also reduced.  Ending stocks are projected at 460 million bushels, down 150 million from last month.  Lower U.S. stocks are partly offset by higher...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; India Wants Biotech Oilseeds and Higher Oil Tariffs

Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA export sales report was both positive and somewhat disappointing. Sales of soybeans for the upcoming marketing year were large, but not for 2019/20. Sales of soymeal and soyoil were disappointing. However, exports of soybeans and soymeal last week...

Codifying Gains; Saving Forests; From Importer to Exporter; Arctic Fruit

Codifying Gains  American farmers are said to be politically conservative. After all, they tend to vote for Republicans in large numbers. But even Republicans are not the budget hawks they once were. Instead, politics has solely become who gets the largess, not whether it builds more debt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Even Bears are Bulls

If a wolf can be in sheep’s clothing, could a bear be in a bull’s hide? Or a bull in a bear’s coat? Whether a bull or a bear, it is about profit-taking, which means sometimes the bull makes a nod to the bear and the bear to the bull. Today was another day won by the bull but n...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Exports; Argentina Dryness; Indian Soymeal

A Good Week for U.S. Soy Exporters Today’s USDA/FAS export sales report indicated exporters of U.S. soybeans, soymeal, and soyoil had great success in the week ending 7 January. Sales of soybeans were high for this point in the marketing year and export sales of soymeal were a marketing y...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price is forecast at 38.5 cents per pound, up 2.5 cents...

Spud Consumption

Although Walmart sells more groceries, Kroger is the largest grocery chain in the U.S. and some things on its list of documented food trends in 2020 will concern health specialists. The effort to avoid contracting COVID by staying home included increased consumption of flavored potato chips. Al...

Biden Trade Policy; Slippery Slope; Selective Attention; Selective Interpretation

Biden Trade Policy Washington’s chattering class continue to speculate and opine on what President-Elect Joe Biden’s administration should do with trade policy. Some say to cut tariffs, others recommend ending bilateralism, there is even the hope that he will decide to rejoin the TP...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Plenty of Global Stocks

The markets are bullish and global food prices are rising but stocks of wheat, corn, and soybeans are ample. Over the past 40 years, the world’s population has increased by 70 percent. Over that same period, global ending stocks of corn are up 127 percent, surplus wheat is up 181 percent...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

soybean ending stocks for 2020/21 are projected at 175 million bushels.  If realized, ending stocks would be the lowest since 2013/14. Soybean and soybean product prices are forecast higher this month.  The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2020/21 is projected at $10.55 per bushe...

Thoughtless Londoners; Weird Biden Buckets; Money Against Roundup; SPS Abuse

Thoughtless Londoners First Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau came out in support of India’s protesting farmers and now thousands protest in London against India's farming reforms. London has a lot of residents with Indian heritage, but Prime Minister Narendra Modi is trying to get h...

Water Investment

The extremely dry conditions in Argentina illustrate the low level of irrigation in many countries around the world. In terms of number of irrigated hectares, China is number one, followed by India and then the U.S. However, on a percent share of total agricultural land, Japan is by far number...

soy-oilseeds

India’s Vegoil Gap

India’s production of major oilseeds increased by around 6 percent over the past decade at the same time its population advanced by 9 percent. Although New Delhi restricts vegetable oil imports, particularly soyoil, to protect its domestic crushing industry, imports are significant and ha...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

The soybean oil price is forecast at 34.5 cents per pound, up 2.0 cents from last month.  ...

India’s Gain is Competitors’ Losses

India’s monsoon season has been abundant and has boosted hopes for bumper crops that will boost incomes and exports. This contrasts with urban areas that have been hit hard by COVID. There is also hope in New Delhi that the Biden Administration will be more generous than President Trump,...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; India Buys U.S. Soyoil; Shortage of Containers

U.S. Soy Export Sales Highlights Last week was another good one for exporters of U.S. soybeans and soybean products. If the pace of sales and exports continue it could be a record export year for the U.S. soybean sector. Net export sales of soybeans in the week ending 29 October totaled 1,530,5...

WTO Bad/Good/Indifferent; EU Food Fun

WTO Bad/Good/Indifferent Bad: The U.S. Congressional Research Service has concluded that trade war payments and COVID relief payments to farmers have likely exceeded WTO limits on such cash transfers. U.S. officials retort that that they are legal. However, the real problem is that the U.S. has...

wheat

Pasta versus Bread

Wheat is the largest and possibly oldest consumed food grain in the world, but its future is slowing down. Known as the staff of life, about 50 percent more wheat is consumed than rice, though about 18 percent of wheat destruction is from feed use. Bread is a predominant use of wheat, though pa...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China Soybean Purchases; Renewable Diesel; NOPA Crush; India Soy

China Continues to Buy U.S. Soybeans Because of the Columbus Day holiday on Monday USDA will not issue its weekly export sales report until tomorrow. However, it is clear Chinese importers have continued to purchase and import U.S. soybeans. Yesterday and today USDA indicated exporters had repo...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price forecast is raised 0.5 cents to 32.5 cents per pound...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA reduced ending stocks of U.S. soybeans for the 2020/21 season and decreased global ending stocks:  U.S. soybean supplies for 2020/21 are forecast at 4.8 billion bushels, down 96 million on lower production and beginning stocks.  Despite reduced supplies, soybean exports are raise...

Markets are Scary

The government of Narendra Modi is pushing through reforms to make Indian agriculture more market-oriented, but it has become a huge political fight within the country. Since independence, agriculture in India has been largely about government control of supply and thus the price received by hu...

The Daily Onion

Starches and protein are the largest caloric components of the western diet and WPI analyzes them all day long. Notably, the onion is one of the most important components in the Indian diet. Periodically, there is the risk of civil unrest due to production shortfalls of the vegetable. Consequen...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

 The soybean oil price forecast is 32.0 cents per pound, up 2 cents...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans – USDA reduced the estimated yield from 53.3 to 51.9 bushels per acre.  Beginning stocks for the 2020/21 season were also reduced.  Ending stocks are projected at 460 million bushels, down 150 million from last month.  Lower U.S. stocks are partly offset by higher...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; India Wants Biotech Oilseeds and Higher Oil Tariffs

Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA export sales report was both positive and somewhat disappointing. Sales of soybeans for the upcoming marketing year were large, but not for 2019/20. Sales of soymeal and soyoil were disappointing. However, exports of soybeans and soymeal last week...

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