World Perspectives

Equities Recent Equities Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean markets were just slightly firmer overnight with wheat slightly lower following yesterday’s fund-related sell-off. Today then saw corn and soybeans trading slightly lower with wheat getting hit fairly hard most of the morning. Wheat is again in a very weak technical posit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight futures trade was limited in volume and price movement. Wheat was slightly weaker, while corn and soybeans hung around Wednesday’s closes. News from talks in Beijing was sparse. President Trump apparently indicated he would agree to extend the negotiations for 60 days as long as...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures markets did very little overnight and again during the day session with volume and volatility in decline. In fact, we would rate today’s market as the dullest so far in 2019. Reflecting the lack of volume, today’s daily trading ranges were collectively among th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets are focused on two things – the trade talks this week in Beijing and the threat of another partial U.S. government shutdown on Saturday. Today, though, there was a generally optimistic feeling about both that helped push the soybean and corn markets higher. The next round of trade...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets started the week lower in the Sunday evening session with soybeans the weakest followed by wheat and corn. The lower pattern continued through to today’s market, but the losses in soybeans and wheat worsened. Soybeans eventually closed down 8-9.5 cents, but Chicago wheat managed t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were generally better overnight and this morning following Thursday’s pre-USDA report sell-off. Yesterday’s losses were primarily the result of the numerous comments by various U.S. administration officials that the China trade deal isn’t done yet. There was virtually...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Agriculture played only a minor role in President Trump’s State of the Union speech last night. He cited the ongoing negotiations with China as an example of his aggressive trade policies but did not mention its recent soybean purchases. He also asked Congress to approve the USMCA trade a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Events have conspired to make the reports being released 8 February among the most anticipated in quite some time. The fact that all of them, except the February WASDE, are a month late has a great deal to do with it. The last WASDE before the government shutdown came out on 11 December, and mu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The grain and oilseed markets were quiet overnight and again today. Volume was light in corn and soybeans but better than average in wheat. The markets will want to see all the numbers in the 11 January USDA reports that are to be released this Friday before setting any new direction. U.S. equi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Agricultural and equity markets were all about China trade deal optimism today. President Trump was very busy tweeting very positive news about the situation, including China’s indication that it would soon buy another 5 MMT of soybeans as well as corn and wheat in future purchases. That...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Please note: Late word from the White House meeting between the Chinese trade delegation and President Trump indicates that delegation leader Vice-Premier Liu He said that China would make (more) purchases of U.S. soybeans, presumably as part of the large amount of agricultural products China h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The government shutdown and suspension of USDA/FAS export sales reports occurred at a time when U.S. corn and wheat export prices were becoming increasingly competitive. Some growth in export sales volumes was likely during that period, and traders have been anxious for the reports to resume. H...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note: The CFTC will resume its Commitment of Traders (COT) reports this Friday with release of the 28 December report. Thereafter, it will issue reports chronologically each Tuesday and Friday until they are caught up. USDA/FAS is tentatively scheduled to release an export sales report on Thurs...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Many were hopeful that last Friday’s actions to reopen the U.S. government plus some optimism that this week’s meeting with China will go well would have a positive impact on agricultural and equity markets, but just the opposite happened. Wheat, corn and soybean markets were lower...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets didn’t do very much overnight in light volume. Corn and soybean futures were a penny higher with wheat down 1-2 cents. Markets then opened this morning with corn and soybeans steady and wheat 3-4 cents lower. Trading volume today was also very light. With no CFTC Commitment of Tra...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is always difficult to trade grain and soy futures based on politics and political rhetoric, and this truism is proving itself once again. Markets were lower yesterday on discouraging comments from various sources about the state of U.S.-Chinese negotiations. They were then buoyed early toda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is now well into the second month of the partial government shutdown, and the blackout of the usual information from USDA continues. The only regular report still coming out is the weekly one from FGIS on the volumes of grain and soybeans inspected for export. This is made possible only by t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets had some follow-through overnight from yesterday’s good gains. Wheat and soybeans were up 3-4 cents with corn fractionally higher. None of that enthusiasm was present today in either of those markets, though. Meanwhile, soybean futures made a run at double-digit gains before closi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy prices were mildly firmer overnight, based mostly on forecasts that the adverse South American weather conditions would persist at least through January. Otherwise, inputs were lacking, however, and trading was uninspired. The overnight trade gave no hint of the rally that took of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The missing USDA reports due to the government shutdown receive all of the attention, but the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC’s) weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report is among the missing as well. The last one was issued on 21 December with futures position data of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets tried to generate a “Turnaround Tuesday” during the overnight session but struggled to hold on to minor gains. This difficulty was a signal that Tuesday might be a tough day for the markets, and so it was. Markets assume that China has purchased 5 MMT of soybea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Wheat and soybean futures were lower overnight, and they stuck to that pattern through the day with soybeans opening with steeper losses. Meanwhile, corn was steady during the night session and finished today fractionally higher after posting 2-3 cent gains in the first half hour. The U.S. gove...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets rebounded overnight following Thursday’s big losses. It was interesting that no one could come up with a solid reason yesterday for the unexpected and big fund selling. Some attributed it to the fact that there would be no USDA reports released today, which include the winter whea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures traded quietly overnight amid low volume, and prices were not much changed by the morning recess. The overnight action (or rather the lack thereof) did not prepare traders for the big and broad sell-off that took place during the day session. Bulls like to be fed every day...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean markets were just slightly firmer overnight with wheat slightly lower following yesterday’s fund-related sell-off. Today then saw corn and soybeans trading slightly lower with wheat getting hit fairly hard most of the morning. Wheat is again in a very weak technical posit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight futures trade was limited in volume and price movement. Wheat was slightly weaker, while corn and soybeans hung around Wednesday’s closes. News from talks in Beijing was sparse. President Trump apparently indicated he would agree to extend the negotiations for 60 days as long as...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures markets did very little overnight and again during the day session with volume and volatility in decline. In fact, we would rate today’s market as the dullest so far in 2019. Reflecting the lack of volume, today’s daily trading ranges were collectively among th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets are focused on two things – the trade talks this week in Beijing and the threat of another partial U.S. government shutdown on Saturday. Today, though, there was a generally optimistic feeling about both that helped push the soybean and corn markets higher. The next round of trade...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets started the week lower in the Sunday evening session with soybeans the weakest followed by wheat and corn. The lower pattern continued through to today’s market, but the losses in soybeans and wheat worsened. Soybeans eventually closed down 8-9.5 cents, but Chicago wheat managed t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were generally better overnight and this morning following Thursday’s pre-USDA report sell-off. Yesterday’s losses were primarily the result of the numerous comments by various U.S. administration officials that the China trade deal isn’t done yet. There was virtually...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Agriculture played only a minor role in President Trump’s State of the Union speech last night. He cited the ongoing negotiations with China as an example of his aggressive trade policies but did not mention its recent soybean purchases. He also asked Congress to approve the USMCA trade a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Events have conspired to make the reports being released 8 February among the most anticipated in quite some time. The fact that all of them, except the February WASDE, are a month late has a great deal to do with it. The last WASDE before the government shutdown came out on 11 December, and mu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The grain and oilseed markets were quiet overnight and again today. Volume was light in corn and soybeans but better than average in wheat. The markets will want to see all the numbers in the 11 January USDA reports that are to be released this Friday before setting any new direction. U.S. equi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Agricultural and equity markets were all about China trade deal optimism today. President Trump was very busy tweeting very positive news about the situation, including China’s indication that it would soon buy another 5 MMT of soybeans as well as corn and wheat in future purchases. That...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Please note: Late word from the White House meeting between the Chinese trade delegation and President Trump indicates that delegation leader Vice-Premier Liu He said that China would make (more) purchases of U.S. soybeans, presumably as part of the large amount of agricultural products China h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The government shutdown and suspension of USDA/FAS export sales reports occurred at a time when U.S. corn and wheat export prices were becoming increasingly competitive. Some growth in export sales volumes was likely during that period, and traders have been anxious for the reports to resume. H...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Note: The CFTC will resume its Commitment of Traders (COT) reports this Friday with release of the 28 December report. Thereafter, it will issue reports chronologically each Tuesday and Friday until they are caught up. USDA/FAS is tentatively scheduled to release an export sales report on Thurs...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Many were hopeful that last Friday’s actions to reopen the U.S. government plus some optimism that this week’s meeting with China will go well would have a positive impact on agricultural and equity markets, but just the opposite happened. Wheat, corn and soybean markets were lower...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets didn’t do very much overnight in light volume. Corn and soybean futures were a penny higher with wheat down 1-2 cents. Markets then opened this morning with corn and soybeans steady and wheat 3-4 cents lower. Trading volume today was also very light. With no CFTC Commitment of Tra...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is always difficult to trade grain and soy futures based on politics and political rhetoric, and this truism is proving itself once again. Markets were lower yesterday on discouraging comments from various sources about the state of U.S.-Chinese negotiations. They were then buoyed early toda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is now well into the second month of the partial government shutdown, and the blackout of the usual information from USDA continues. The only regular report still coming out is the weekly one from FGIS on the volumes of grain and soybeans inspected for export. This is made possible only by t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets had some follow-through overnight from yesterday’s good gains. Wheat and soybeans were up 3-4 cents with corn fractionally higher. None of that enthusiasm was present today in either of those markets, though. Meanwhile, soybean futures made a run at double-digit gains before closi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy prices were mildly firmer overnight, based mostly on forecasts that the adverse South American weather conditions would persist at least through January. Otherwise, inputs were lacking, however, and trading was uninspired. The overnight trade gave no hint of the rally that took of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The missing USDA reports due to the government shutdown receive all of the attention, but the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC’s) weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report is among the missing as well. The last one was issued on 21 December with futures position data of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets tried to generate a “Turnaround Tuesday” during the overnight session but struggled to hold on to minor gains. This difficulty was a signal that Tuesday might be a tough day for the markets, and so it was. Markets assume that China has purchased 5 MMT of soybea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Wheat and soybean futures were lower overnight, and they stuck to that pattern through the day with soybeans opening with steeper losses. Meanwhile, corn was steady during the night session and finished today fractionally higher after posting 2-3 cent gains in the first half hour. The U.S. gove...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets rebounded overnight following Thursday’s big losses. It was interesting that no one could come up with a solid reason yesterday for the unexpected and big fund selling. Some attributed it to the fact that there would be no USDA reports released today, which include the winter whea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures traded quietly overnight amid low volume, and prices were not much changed by the morning recess. The overnight action (or rather the lack thereof) did not prepare traders for the big and broad sell-off that took place during the day session. Bulls like to be fed every day...

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